Chamada de paper – Advances in Atmospheric Sciences Special Issue: Causes, Impacts, and Predictability of Droughts for the Past, Present, and Future
Coordenação-Geral de Ciências da Terra – CGCT
Modelagem Numérica do Sistema Terrestre
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Drought is a recurring dry condition with below-normal precipitation and is often associated with warm temperatures or heatwaves. A drought event can develop slowly over several weeks or suddenly within days, commonly under abnormal atmospheric conditions (e.g., quasi-stationary high-pressure systems), and can persist for weeks, months, or even years, often exerting great socio-economic impacts. The consequences of drought are far-reaching, impacting the water quality and supply, public health, food security, and the natural environment. Increasing evidence suggests that greenhouse gas-induced global warming can lead to more frequent, severe, and long-lasting droughts due to ubiquitous increases in evaporative demand under rising temperatures and decreased precipitation over subtropical areas. Meanwhile, population growth and associated increases in agricultural and industrial activities also strengthen the demand for freshwater resources, potentially increasing drought risk. Thus, there have been great concerns of increased drought risk as global warming continues. While many studies have addressed the increased risk of drought in the 21st century, more efforts are needed to fully analyze and understand droughts in the past, present, and future under a changing climate.
This special issue focuses on analyzing drought risk under a warming climate, understanding drought formation mechanisms, and the attribution, prediction, and projection of drought. Consolidated publications on this topic in this special issue will facilitate the synthesis of new research results, identify key scientific gaps, and hence contribute to a more thorough understanding of drought changes and variability under a changing climate.
Submissions in, but not limited to, the following research areas are invited:
Topics:
1. Global and regional quantification, analysis, and understanding of drought changes and variations in paleoclimate data and instrumental records, including the attribution and understanding of externally forced (e.g., by historical GHG or aerosol forcing) and internally generated (e.g., by ENSO, PDO/IPO and AMO) drought variations and changes;
2. Global and regional analysis and understanding of model-projected changes in future drought characteristics, including drought frequency, duration, severity, and area;
3. Investigation of drought formation mechanisms in present and future climates, such as the onset, growth, and decay of drought, the relative importance of large-scale atmospheric circulation and the associated remote ocean conditions versus local feedbacks, the key drivers of recent and future drought changes; and the role of human activities (e.g., urbanization, land cover change, water usage, etc.);
4. Seasonal and decadal predictability of regional droughts over the globe, including those associated with ENSO, PDO/IPO, and AMO;5. Attribution of anthropogenic influence on recent individual drought events using historical model simulations;6. Regional, national, and global assessments of the impacts of historical and future droughts and heatwaves on the natural environment, agriculture, human health, and other sectors.Important dates:
Manuscript Submission Deadline: October 31, 2022.Estimated publication time: Published online once accepted.Final Print: Summer 2023.
Submission URL: https://mc03.manuscriptcentral.com/aasiap
Please select manuscript type: ?Special issue: Drought?Please refer to the Author Guide for an MS Word template, Endnote reference style, and more detailed style instructions (http://www.iapjournals.ac.cn/aas/news/AuthorGuide.htm ).Advances in Atmospheric Sciences (AAS), launched in 1984, aims to rapidly publish the latest achievements and developments on the dynamics, physics, and chemistry of the Earth?s atmosphere and ocean. It also aims to rapidly publish potentially high influential papers on the atmospheres of other planets and on earth system dynamics in which the atmosphere and/or ocean are involved. AAS is published by Springer and indexed by the SCI database (latest IF: 3.158). For more information about AAS, please visit https://www.springer.com/376.Do feel free to contact us at aas@mail.iap.ac.cn if you have any questions regarding the special issue.
Manuscript Submission Deadline: October 31, 2022. Estimated publication time: Published online once accepted.